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The Award Season has already begun with Oppenheimer and Killers of the Flower Moon in the lead



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The award season begins with “Oppenheimer” and “Killers of the Flower Moon” at the forefront. What do these victories mean for the 2024 Oscars?

After the Gotham Awards, New York critics took the floor on November 30th and announced their winners. Part of the so-called “big four”, this critics organization includes more than 30 journalists based in New York and every year it meets for a long discussion with a view to awarding awards in the field of cinema.

They are a group that values ​​balance in their choices, presenting some irreverence and winners that are more consistent with the narratives of the awards season. This year, we didn’t have as many surprises as expected, but it’s still worth looking at the main results they bring films as “Killers of the Flower Moon”, “Oppenheimer” It is “May December” very well positioned.

Charles Melton appears to be a critics favorite © May December 2022 Investors LLC

In the representation categories, Charles Melton (“May December”) triumphs again, after his victory in Gotham, proving that the passion for his performance is quite strong. There is a strong possibility that Melton will be the candidate that critics choose to endorse, in order to cement his place in the race. It is worth noting that Melton has already managed to surpass Willem Dafoe (“Poor Creatures”) and enter the top5 of bets in the GoldDerby.

Among the winners of the last five years, Ke Huy Quan (“Everything everywhere at the same time”) is the only one who won the Oscarbeing that Joe Pesci (“The Irishman”) It is Kodi Smit-McPhee (“The Power of the Dog”) were nominated by the Academy. Just Chadwick Boseman (“Da 5 Bloods“) in 2020 he was unable to make this distinction visible to the Academy, having always been a name under discussion in the category.

In secondary actress, the NYFCC advanced with Da’Vine Joy Randolph (“The Holdovers”), one of the most popular names of the season. Randolph remains at the top of the GoldDerby, however the majority of experts Americans believe that Danielle Brooks will triumph “The Color Purple”.

Of the last champions, Laura Dern (“Marriage Story”) was the only one in common between the NYFCC and the Academy and only Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”) got the nomination. Kathryn Hunter (“The Tragedy of Macbeth”) and Keke Palmer (“Nope”) were never real possibilities.

Lily Gladstone is already beginning to triumph with “Killers of the Flower Moon” © 2023 Apple Studios

After triumphing in Gotham in the film “The Unknown Country”, Lily Gladstone traces its path to the Oscar Best actress With a significant victory for her performance in “Assassinos da Lua das Flores”, the actress remains in 2nd place, below Emma Stonein the forecasts but promises to put up a lot of fight.

Of the last five recognized actresses, only Cate Blanchett (“TÁR”) got the nomination and everything indicates that he was very close to victory. In turn, Lupita Nyong’o (“Us”) and Lady Gaga (“House of Gucci”) were ignored by the Academy, despite the consistent support of their predecessors. Among all these, Sidney Flanigan (“Never Rarely Sometimes Always”) was the most out of the box choice.

On the men’s side, we had the biggest surprise of the winners with Franz Rogowski triumphing by “Passages”in Ira Sachs. In recent years, thanks to work on films such as “Great Freedom” It is “Undine”, Rogowski has gained a fan base that expressed itself in this award. So far, Rogowski has not asserted himself in the conversation, it remains to be seen whether this will be a critical project or just an isolated case.

Looking at the winners of recent years, Antonio Banderas (“Pain and Glory”), Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Power of the Dog”) It is Colin Farrell (“Banshees of Inisherin”) were also nominated by the Academy, with Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”) to be ignored in most televised.

Christopher Nolan Proves Favoritism © 2020 Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc.

In the director category, Christopher Nolan proves that his favoritism for “Oppenheimer” it’s real. The consensus is that this would be the place that would recognize more artistic names like Jonathan Glazer (“The Zone of Interest”), but the truth is that this should be the first of many for Nolan.

In the last years, Chloe Zhao (“Nomadland”) It is Jane Campion (“The Power of the Dog”) triumphed here and at the Oscars, and Josh Safdie & Benny Safdie (“Uncut Gems”) It is SS Rajamouli (“RRR”) never managed to assert themselves in the race.

In Best Film, “Assassins of the Flower Moon” triumphed, once again confirming this group’s affection for Martin Scorsese, who had already won in 2019 with “The Irishman”. At this moment, Scorsese’s new film is seen as one of the big favorites for the statuette.

Yorgos Lanthimos’ “Poor Creatures” did not find space in this group © Searchlight Studios

In recent years,”The Irishman,”“Drive my car” and “TÁR” appeared in the Best Film category at the Oscars, with “First Cow” in 2020 it remains the only film to triumph in this group and not to win a single Oscar nomination.

In addition to the victories, it is worth highlighting the notable absences of “Poor Things”, “Barbie” and “The Zone of Interest,” but it’s not much of a cause for concern. Films like “CODA”, “GreenBook” It is “The Shape of Water” were ignored by this group and ended up winning the Oscar for Best movie.


© 2023 Paramount Pictures

Best movie: “Killers of the Flower Moon”
Best Director: Christopher Nolan, “Oppenheimer”
Best Actor: Franz Rogowski, “Passages”
Best actress: Lily Gladstone, “Killers of the Flower Moon”
Best Supporting Actor: Charles Melton, “May December”
Best Supporting Actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph, “The Outcasts”
Best Argument: “May December” – Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik
Best Animated Film: “The Boy and the Crane”
Best Director of Photography: “Oppenheimer” – Hoyte van Hoytema
Best First Film: “Past Lives”
Better International Film: “Anatomy of a Fall”
Better Documentary: “Menus-Plaisirs – Les Troisgros”

And you, do you believe that “Oppenheimer” and “Killers of the Flower Moon” are the big candidates for the 2024 Oscars?

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