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Predictions for Golden Globes 2024 Cinema

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12 months ago

December 9, 2023

Christhe Rebel

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After television, it’s time to look at the Golden Globes for cinema. Who will be the nominees?

The Golden Globes seek to reward television It is movie theaterbut it is undeniable that the biggest attraction is the cinema, having been one of the television precursors more famous. Known for their eccentricities, how to name “The tourist” for Best Film Comedythey are, fundamentally, a great visibility ramp for candidates.

This year, the Golden Globes face a major trial by fire, now that they are in a new home and with a new voting body.

It remains to be seen how this new version of the Golden Globes will present itself, but it won’t be too far-fetched to observe its past trends to find a way. With six places, some more difficult races are made easier, but it can also open up space for some more unusual choices.

Due to your choice to divide Drama and Comedy/Musical, this ceremony can also be the stage for a total domination of the phenomenon “Barbenheimer”as films compete in different segments.

Starting with the Comedy/Musical category, which is much stronger than normal with names like “Barbie”, “Poor Creatures”“The Outcasts”, “American Fiction”, “The Color Purple”, “May December – Secrets of a Scandal” seem very well headed for an appointment here and in other precursors. However, it is worth remembering that the Golden Globes do not like the obvious, and there may be room for “Wonka”a musical starring a star as they like so much, or “Air”the new film by Ben Affleck which has been losing ground in the race as the year progresses.

If the film category is strong, the same cannot be said for the main actor, where after Paul Giamatti (“The excluded ones”), Jeffrey Wright (“American Fiction”), Timothee Chalamet (“Wonka”) and Matt Damon (“Air”), the options are becoming scarce and not very viable. In the past, this category has given us nominations for well-known actors in projects that went unnoticed, such as Mark Ruffalo in “Amor Polar” (2014), something like this could be about to happen.

In turn, Best actress looks like a much more promising category with names like Emma Stone (“Poor Creatures”), Margot Robbie (“Barbie”), Barrino Fantasy (“The Color Purple”), Natalie Portman (“May December – Secrets of a Scandal”), Jennifer Lawrence (“All good!“) ahead.

The last vacancy seems to be the big question, will the Golden Globes opt for an actress better known as Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“You Hurt My Feelings”) or someone on the rise like Abby Ryder Forston (“Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.”) or Halle Bailey (“The Little Mermaid”)?

On the drama side, “Oppenheimer”, “Killers of the Flower Moon” It is “Conductor” seem like safe bets, with “Anatomy of a Fall” right after. The doubt with the French film is really due to its European character, as the Golden Globes show a lot of resistance in nominating non-English speaking films.

With most of the strong names for the Oscars competing in the other category, this is where the Golden Globes can surprise and bring into the race names that are not being considered much like “Origin”, “The Iron Claw”, “Saltburn” or even “Napoleon”.

The same case applies in the actor category, since after Cillian Murphy (“Oppenheimer”), Bradley Cooper (“Conductor”), Leonardo DiCaprio (“Killers of the Flower Moon”) and Colman Domingo (“Rustin”), there is space to name two names that didn’t achieve as much buzz. Names like Zac Efron (“The Iron Claw”), Andrew Scott (“All of Us Strangers”), Joaquin Phoenix (“Napoleon”) or Barry Keoghan (“Saltburn”) are good options for these vacancies.

On the women’s side, the race is very close with several names competing for one of the six places, this is where we will see the strength of Cailee Spaeny (“Priscilla”), Greta Lee (“Past Lives”), Annette Bening (“Nyad”) or Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Origin”), names that do not seem to be as secure as Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”).

In the secondary categories, more places give rise to more doubts, as the possibilities are vast and there are no limits to where the Golden Globes are capable of going. This is where we can understand if someone like Sterling K. Brown (“American Fiction”) or America Ferrera (“Barbie”) has enough support to materialize into a televised precursor and establish its name in the race for Oscars.

In International Film, the Globes tend to focus on the most famous titles of the season and are not governed by the criteria of the Oscartherefore it is possible that “Anatomy of a Fall” and “The Flavor of Life”, two French candidates, will both get the nomination.

In Animation, the Golden Globes tend to opt for the most popular, but in the last two years, we have seen the emergence of an unusual candidate like “My Sunny Maad” (2021) or “Inu-Oh” (2022). This could be where “Suzume”, a huge box office success that has had intense campaign work, finds a place to shine.

As far as directors are concerned, the Golden Globes follow the names of the season with one exception or another. With six vacancies, it is possible that someone will appear who has not been considered until now, especially if it is a famous artist. Previous nominees include Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”), Todd Haynes (“May December – Secrets of a Scandal”), Ridley Scott (“Napoleon”) or Emerald Fennell (“Saltburn”) can find a place here.

Unlike the Oscars, the Golden Globes do not separate the Screenplay categories, so it is usually a good indicator to understand which films are really stronger this season. It will be crucial to understand whether “American Fiction” or “Anatomy of a Fall” can win this hotly contested race.

A category where the Golden Globes often surprise with inspired and off-kilter choices is that of Soundtrack. This year, “Oppenheimer” is the big favorite, but this could be where international films like “Snow Society” or “The Zone of Interest” begin to gain space.

In the Original Song category, the big question is: How many “Barbie” songs will be able to appear in the nominees? At the very least, no one takes away the nominations from “What Was I Made For?” and “I’m Just Ken.” But Dua Lipa You may very well be able to dance your way to an appointment.

In addition to these categories mentioned, the Golden Globes introduced two new: Golden Globe for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement and Best Stand-Up Performance. Due to lack of clarity in eligibility criteria and approach, they will not be listed predictions for them at the moment.